Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.4%
Fiorentina
19.0%
Draw
15.6%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18
Fiorentina
vs
0.96
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS54.7%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.538.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.5%
1-1
8.9%
3-0
7.5%
3-1
7.2%
2-2
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
0-1
4.3%
0-0
4.1%
4-0
4.1%
4-1
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).