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AHT: 01CSV

24 Aug 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.5%
Antwerp
30.2%
Draw
32.3%
Mechelen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Antwerp

vs
1.08

Mechelen

Markets

BTTS46.5%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.566.8%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
1-0
11.6%
0-0
11.2%
0-1
10.5%
2-1
7.9%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).