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08 Jan 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.4%
Weymouth
25.9%
Draw
57.7%
Southend

Expected Goals (xG)

0.79

Weymouth

vs
1.68

Southend

Markets

BTTS45.3%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.3%
1-1
12.2%
0-2
12.0%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
9.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-0
5.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-1
4.4%
2-2
3.7%
0-4
2.8%
2-0
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).