Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →86.1%
Dortmund
9.9%
Draw
4.0%
Heidenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
3.22
Dortmund
vs
0.64
Heidenheim
Markets
BTTS45.9%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.590.1%
Over 2.574.2%
Over 3.554.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
11.7%
2-0
10.9%
4-0
9.4%
3-1
7.5%
2-1
7.0%
1-0
6.4%
5-0
6.1%
4-1
6.1%
1-1
4.7%
5-1
3.9%
3-2
2.4%
0-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).