Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.8%
Sudtirol
27.5%
Draw
13.7%
Cosenza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Sudtirol
vs
0.62
Cosenza
Markets
BTTS37.7%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.517.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.5%
2-0
13.7%
0-0
12.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-0
7.1%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
4-0
2.7%
2-2
2.7%
0-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).