Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.5%
Port Vale
28.4%
Draw
44.1%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Port Vale
vs
1.14
Exeter
Markets
BTTS37.1%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.557.4%
Over 2.531.4%
Over 3.513.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.1%
0-0
12.9%
1-0
12.6%
1-1
12.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
5.4%
2-0
4.8%
0-3
3.5%
2-2
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).