Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.7%
Sp Gijon
24.0%
Draw
36.3%
Malaga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Sp Gijon
vs
1.47
Malaga
Markets
BTTS60.5%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
7.7%
0-1
7.3%
2-2
6.3%
2-0
5.9%
0-2
5.3%
0-0
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
1-3
4.0%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).