Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.8%
Fylde
30.2%
Draw
42.9%
Chorley
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Fylde
vs
1.30
Chorley
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.519.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-1
12.2%
0-0
11.3%
1-0
8.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).