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28 Aug 2022 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.1%
FC Koln
20.7%
Draw
26.2%
Stuttgart

Expected Goals (xG)

2.33

FC Koln

vs
1.63

Stuttgart

Markets

BTTS73.1%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.591.0%
Over 2.575.6%
Over 3.555.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
3-2
5.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-0
4.0%
1-0
4.0%
4-1
3.8%
2-3
3.7%
1-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).