Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.8%
Sturm Graz
24.5%
Draw
24.7%
AC London
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Sturm Graz
vs
1.22
AC London
Markets
BTTS60.1%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.536.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.9%
1-0
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
5.9%
0-0
5.5%
0-1
5.0%
3-0
4.8%
3-2
3.6%
0-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).