Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.7%
Farense
24.7%
Draw
67.6%
Porto
Expected Goals (xG)
0.37
Farense
vs
1.59
Porto
Markets
BTTS24.9%
Over 0.585.3%
Over 1.558.6%
Over 2.531.0%
Over 3.513.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
22.0%
0-2
17.9%
0-0
14.7%
0-3
9.4%
1-1
8.8%
1-2
6.5%
1-0
4.7%
0-4
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-1
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-2
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).