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03 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.2%
Sevenoaks Town
14.6%
Draw
69.2%
Whitstable Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.56

Sevenoaks Town

vs
3.15

Whitstable Town

Markets

BTTS75.5%
Over 0.599.2%
Over 1.594.7%
Over 2.584.9%
Over 3.569.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-3
7.3%
1-2
7.0%
1-4
5.8%
2-3
5.7%
2-2
5.4%
0-3
4.7%
2-4
4.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-1
4.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
3.6%
2-1
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).