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21 Mar 2026 · 15:00

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Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.9%
Grimsby
24.0%
Draw
21.1%
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Expected Goals (xG)

1.61

Grimsby

vs
0.88

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Markets

BTTS46.3%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
7.9%
0-1
7.8%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
5.1%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).