Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.6%
Girona
23.9%
Draw
11.5%
Lugo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Girona
vs
0.51
Lugo
Markets
BTTS32.0%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.562.6%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.516.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.4%
2-0
15.5%
0-0
11.9%
1-1
9.8%
3-0
8.4%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-0
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-2
2.0%
4-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).