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08 May 2023 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.3%
Walsall
24.6%
Draw
45.1%
Doncaster

Expected Goals (xG)

1.17

Walsall

vs
1.49

Doncaster

Markets

BTTS53.1%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.527.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.6%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
5.3%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).