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AHT: 11CSV

18 Feb 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.3%
Mouscron
32.8%
Draw
29.9%
Waasland-Beveren

Expected Goals (xG)

1.04

Mouscron

vs
0.90

Waasland-Beveren

Markets

BTTS39.3%
Over 0.584.9%
Over 1.558.7%
Over 2.530.9%
Over 3.513.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
15.1%
1-1
14.2%
1-0
14.1%
0-1
12.1%
2-0
7.8%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-0
2.7%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).