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AHT: 00CSV

12 Apr 2025 · 17:30

Elche

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.1%
Cadiz
27.5%
Draw
47.4%
Elche

Expected Goals (xG)

0.90

Cadiz

vs
1.36

Elche

Markets

BTTS44.0%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.3%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
10.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).