Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.3%
Wrexham
23.7%
Draw
47.0%
Coventry
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Wrexham
vs
1.89
Coventry
Markets
BTTS66.0%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.565.1%
Over 3.543.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.1%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
6.2%
0-1
5.9%
1-3
5.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-3
4.2%
0-0
4.2%
0-3
3.9%
2-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).