Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.3%
Tranmere
25.3%
Draw
50.4%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Tranmere
vs
1.49
Northampton
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.543.7%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.6%
1-1
11.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
8.8%
0-0
8.4%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).