Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.5%
Brentford
28.7%
Draw
25.8%
Crystal Palace
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Brentford
vs
1.12
Crystal Palace
Markets
BTTS54.5%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
9.1%
0-0
8.7%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
0-1
6.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).