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DHT: 01CSV

29 Mar 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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10.7%
Ebbsfleet
20.5%
Draw
68.8%
Southend

Expected Goals (xG)

0.71

Ebbsfleet

vs
2.10

Southend

Markets

BTTS45.3%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
13.3%
0-1
11.9%
1-1
9.7%
1-2
9.4%
0-3
9.3%
0-0
6.8%
1-3
6.6%
0-4
4.9%
1-0
3.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
2-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).