Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.6%
Leeds
37.5%
Draw
38.8%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64
Leeds
vs
0.90
Burnley
Markets
BTTS28.8%
Over 0.577.6%
Over 1.546.3%
Over 2.520.0%
Over 3.57.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
22.4%
0-1
18.5%
1-1
13.2%
1-0
12.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-0
4.4%
2-1
3.9%
0-3
2.6%
2-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
3-0
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).