Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →4.3%
Tondela
14.6%
Draw
81.1%
Bromsgrove Sporting
Expected Goals (xG)
0.42
Tondela
vs
2.40
Bromsgrove Sporting
Markets
BTTS31.4%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
17.2%
0-1
13.9%
0-3
13.8%
0-4
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
0-0
6.5%
1-1
6.4%
1-3
5.7%
0-5
4.0%
1-4
3.4%
1-0
2.0%
1-5
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).