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AHT: 01CSV

12 Apr 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.9%
Southend
25.9%
Draw
21.2%
Solihull

Expected Goals (xG)

1.71

Southend

vs
1.00

Solihull

Markets

BTTS52.8%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.7%
0-0
7.6%
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
3-0
5.5%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).