Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →85.0%
Leverkusen
11.1%
Draw
3.9%
Darmstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
2.93
Leverkusen
vs
0.54
Darmstadt
Markets
BTTS39.7%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.567.3%
Over 3.545.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.4%
3-0
13.1%
4-0
9.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-1
7.0%
5-0
5.6%
1-1
5.3%
4-1
5.1%
0-0
3.5%
5-1
3.0%
2-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).