Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.2%
Freiburg
26.2%
Draw
28.7%
M'gladbach
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Freiburg
vs
1.24
M'gladbach
Markets
BTTS57.5%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.531.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
0-0
6.6%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).