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27 Dec 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.2%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
26.7%
Draw
23.2%
Beerschot VA

Expected Goals (xG)

1.57

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

vs
0.99

Beerschot VA

Markets

BTTS50.6%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.4%
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).