Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.5%
Burton
22.5%
Draw
57.1%
Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Burton
vs
1.66
Sheffield Weds
Markets
BTTS45.9%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.3%
0-2
11.0%
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.5%
1-0
7.9%
0-0
7.1%
0-3
6.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.0%
0-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).