Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.8%
Padova
29.0%
Draw
28.2%
Empoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Padova
vs
1.11
Empoli
Markets
BTTS51.9%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
10.1%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.0%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).