Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.8%
Las Palmas
29.5%
Draw
40.7%
Ath Bilbao
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Las Palmas
vs
1.23
Ath Bilbao
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.518.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
0-1
12.6%
0-0
11.1%
1-0
10.3%
1-2
8.1%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).