Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.9%
Bournemouth
26.4%
Draw
33.7%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Bournemouth
vs
1.51
Brentford
Markets
BTTS64.5%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.539.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
5.8%
0-0
5.7%
1-0
5.5%
0-1
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.0%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).