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17 Aug 2024 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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93.1%
PAOK
5.5%
Draw
1.3%
Panserraikos

Expected Goals (xG)

3.79

PAOK

vs
0.43

Panserraikos

Markets

BTTS34.4%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.592.5%
Over 2.579.1%
Over 3.560.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
13.4%
4-0
12.7%
2-0
10.6%
5-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-1
5.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.6%
5-1
4.1%
1-1
2.6%
0-0
1.7%
3-2
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).