Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.0%
Villarreal
20.4%
Draw
14.6%
Eibar
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Villarreal
vs
0.87
Eibar
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.7%
3-0
7.8%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
5.4%
0-1
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
4-0
4.1%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).