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AHT: 00CSV

25 Apr 2025 · 17:30

Ulm

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.3%
Greuther Furth
26.4%
Draw
36.3%
Ulm

Expected Goals (xG)

1.52

Greuther Furth

vs
1.50

Ulm

Markets

BTTS61.6%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
0-1
6.3%
0-0
6.0%
2-0
5.7%
0-2
5.5%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
3-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).