Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.6%
Dag and Red
24.1%
Draw
31.4%
Aldershot
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Dag and Red
vs
1.53
Aldershot
Markets
BTTS66.8%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.565.6%
Over 3.543.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
5.8%
1-0
5.5%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
4.4%
0-0
4.2%
3-2
4.2%
0-2
4.0%
1-3
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).