Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.2%
Gainsborough Trinity
23.6%
Draw
33.2%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Gainsborough Trinity
vs
1.37
Accrington
Markets
BTTS59.1%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
0-1
7.4%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.2%
0-2
4.8%
0-0
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).