Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →5.9%
Oxford City
11.5%
Draw
82.6%
York
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Oxford City
vs
3.20
York
Markets
BTTS54.3%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.591.4%
Over 2.576.5%
Over 3.557.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3
9.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
8.1%
0-4
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
1-4
6.4%
0-1
5.3%
1-1
5.1%
0-5
5.0%
1-5
4.1%
2-3
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).