Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.3%
Bologna
15.0%
Draw
11.7%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
2.72
Bologna
vs
1.02
Crotone
Markets
BTTS59.5%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.588.6%
Over 2.572.1%
Over 3.551.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
3-0
8.0%
1-0
6.6%
1-1
6.5%
4-1
5.5%
4-0
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-2
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
5-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).