Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.8%
Grimsby
31.5%
Draw
36.7%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Grimsby
vs
0.96
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS35.2%
Over 0.584.4%
Over 1.553.9%
Over 2.527.6%
Over 3.511.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.0%
0-0
15.6%
1-0
14.5%
1-1
12.9%
0-2
7.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-0
6.1%
2-1
5.8%
2-2
2.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-3
2.0%
3-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).