Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.4%
Dag and Red
23.0%
Draw
16.6%
Oxford City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Dag and Red
vs
0.94
Oxford City
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.533.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.9%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.7%
0-1
4.3%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).