Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.7%
Alcorcon
28.6%
Draw
44.7%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Alcorcon
vs
1.25
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.517.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.7%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
11.5%
1-0
10.6%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).