Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.9%
Erzgebirge Aue
22.1%
Draw
56.0%
Magdeburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Erzgebirge Aue
vs
2.18
Magdeburg
Markets
BTTS65.9%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.567.9%
Over 3.546.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-2
6.3%
2-1
5.8%
0-1
5.7%
0-3
5.2%
2-3
4.5%
0-0
3.9%
1-4
3.7%
1-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).