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08 Dec 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.2%
Mouscron
25.7%
Draw
49.1%
Waregem

Expected Goals (xG)

1.12

Mouscron

vs
1.66

Waregem

Markets

BTTS55.3%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
8.5%
0-0
6.9%
2-1
6.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
5.3%
0-3
4.7%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).