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DHT: 11CSV

07 Aug 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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68.4%
Bromley
20.9%
Draw
10.7%
Dover Athletic

Expected Goals (xG)

2.06

Bromley

vs
0.70

Dover Athletic

Markets

BTTS44.5%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.5%
1-0
12.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
9.2%
0-0
7.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-0
4.8%
0-1
3.7%
4-1
3.3%
2-2
3.3%
1-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).