Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.8%
Spezia
28.1%
Draw
22.1%
Avellino
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Spezia
vs
0.95
Avellino
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-0
9.8%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).