Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.3%
Walsall
27.1%
Draw
28.6%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Walsall
vs
0.97
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS44.5%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
1-1
12.5%
0-1
10.7%
0-0
9.9%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).