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DHT: 11CSV

19 Jan 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.1%
Dover Athletic
24.8%
Draw
59.1%
Bromley

Expected Goals (xG)

0.82

Dover Athletic

vs
1.77

Bromley

Markets

BTTS47.3%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.4%
1-1
11.8%
0-2
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.5%
2-2
3.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-4
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).