Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.7%
Como
21.8%
Draw
16.5%
Genoa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Como
vs
0.83
Genoa
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.8%
2-0
11.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.2%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).