Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.8%
Burgos
29.4%
Draw
25.8%
Sporting Gijón
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Burgos
vs
0.84
Sporting Gijón
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.560.8%
Over 2.533.9%
Over 3.515.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
12.7%
0-1
10.9%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).