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28 Feb 2026 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.1%
Antwerp
28.8%
Draw
39.1%
Sint-Truiden

Expected Goals (xG)

1.11

Antwerp

vs
1.25

Sint-Truiden

Markets

BTTS48.4%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
0-1
11.3%
1-0
9.9%
0-0
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).